Sweden vs Tunisia Betting Tips, Odds and Prediction

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FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group F
Sweden vs Tunisia: Betting Tips, Odds, Prediction and TV Info

Sweden and Tunisia meet in Monterrey in a crucial Group F opener. Sweden have one of the most exciting striker pairings in the tournament, while Tunisia arrive with one of the strongest defensive records from qualifying.

Date June 14, 2026
Kick-off 22:00 ET / 03:00 BST
TV FOX, BBC/ITV, SBS
Venue Estadio BBVA

Sweden vs Tunisia could be one of the defining matches in Group F, where the Netherlands and Japan are also competing for qualification. Sweden are narrow favourites because of their attacking firepower, but Tunisia’s defensive structure makes this far from a simple opener.

The match takes place at Estadio BBVA, also listed as Monterrey Stadium, in Guadalupe, Mexico. Kick-off is 20:00 local time in Monterrey on Sunday, June 14, 22:00 Eastern Time, 19:00 Pacific Time and 03:00 in the United Kingdom on Monday, June 15.

Sweden vs Tunisia match information

MatchSweden vs Tunisia
CompetitionFIFA World Cup 2026
GroupGroup F
DateSunday, June 14, 2026
Kick-off22:00 ET / 19:00 PT / 03:00 BST, June 15
VenueEstadio BBVA / Monterrey Stadium, Guadalupe, Mexico
TV / streaming worldwideUSA: FOX, FS1, Telemundo, Universo · UK: BBC, ITV, BBC iPlayer, ITVX · Australia: SBS, SBS On Demand · Canada: CTV, TSN, RDS · Sweden: SVT/TV4 platforms · Tunisia / MENA: beIN SPORTS
Group opponentsNetherlands, Japan

Sweden vs Tunisia odds

Sweden are favourites in the 1X2 market, but Tunisia’s defensive profile keeps the draw and low-goal markets very relevant. The odds below are shown in decimal format and can change before kick-off.

1X2 - full-time result

Sweden win1.86–1.95
Draw3.45–3.60
Tunisia win4.30–4.50

Total goals

Under 2.5 goals1.65–1.75
Over 2.5 goals2.20–2.27

Both teams to score

Yes1.95–2.05
No1.75–1.85

Value markets

Sweden -0.5 Asian handicap1.83–1.90
Sweden win & under 3.5 goals2.75 approx.
Sweden 1-0 correct score6.50 approx.

Odds are informative only. Always check the latest prices, market rules and local betting regulations before placing a bet.

Best betting tips for Sweden vs Tunisia

Main pick Sweden to win @ 1.91

Sweden have the stronger attacking ceiling through Viktor Gyökeres and Alexander Isak. Tunisia are disciplined, but Sweden’s forward quality makes them the most likely winner if the match is decided by one or two key chances.

Goals angle Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70

Tunisia qualified with an exceptional defensive record, while Sweden are still working on balance under Graham Potter. A tense opener with few clear chances is a very realistic match script.

Bet builder idea Sweden win & under 3.5 goals @ 2.75

This combines Sweden’s attacking edge with Tunisia’s ability to keep games tight. A 1-0 or 2-0 Sweden win feels more natural than a high-scoring game.

Correct score idea Sweden 1-0 Tunisia @ 6.50

Tunisia’s defensive discipline should keep them competitive, but Sweden have enough individual quality to find one decisive goal.

Key stats before the match

Sweden

  • Graham Potter took over after a difficult qualifying campaign and guided Sweden through the playoff route.
  • Sweden qualified after playoff wins over Ukraine and Poland.
  • Viktor Gyökeres scored the decisive goal in the playoff victory over Poland.
  • Alexander Isak remains one of Sweden’s most important attacking players despite recent injury concerns.
  • Anthony Elanga, Lucas Bergvall and Benjamin Nygren add speed and creativity around the main strikers.
  • Sweden are trying to recover the tournament identity of a side that has historically been difficult to beat.

Tunisia

  • Tunisia are playing a third consecutive World Cup.
  • The team qualified with nine wins and one draw.
  • Tunisia went through qualifying without conceding a goal.
  • Sabri Lamouchi is the head coach after a post-AFCON change.
  • Ellyes Skhiri is the key midfield reference and one of the squad’s most reliable players.
  • Tunisia are still looking to reach the World Cup knockout stage for the first time.

Match preview

Sweden’s tournament outlook changed dramatically after Graham Potter’s arrival. A poor qualifying campaign had placed them under huge pressure, but the playoff route gave them a second chance. Now the question is whether Potter can quickly build enough structure around one of the best striker duos in the group stage.

Gyökeres gives Sweden physical power, penalty-box aggression and pressing intensity, while Isak provides movement, pace and one-vs-one quality. If Sweden can get enough service from wide areas and midfield, they have the tools to break down even a compact Tunisian block.

Tunisia’s case is built on defence. Their qualifying campaign was almost flawless without the ball, and Lamouchi has a squad that understands how to stay narrow, protect the box and frustrate technically stronger opponents. The concern is attacking output: against a Swedish side with tournament experience, Tunisia may need to be more ambitious than they were during parts of qualifying.

Team news and predicted lineups

Sweden are expected to build around Isak and Gyökeres, with Elanga and Bergvall offering support between the lines. Tunisia should keep a compact shape, likely relying on Skhiri, Hannibal Mejbri and a disciplined defensive line to limit central space.

Sweden predicted XI

  • Robin Olsen
  • Emil Holm, Victor Lindelöf, Isak Hien, Ludwig Augustinsson
  • Lucas Bergvall, Mattias Svanberg, Samuel Gustafson
  • Anthony Elanga, Viktor Gyökeres, Alexander Isak

Tunisia predicted XI

  • Bechir Ben Saïd
  • Yan Valery, Montassar Talbi, Dylan Bronn, Ali Abdi
  • Ellyes Skhiri, Hannibal Mejbri, Aïssa Laïdouni
  • Elias Saad, Youssef Msakni, Ali Youssef

Head-to-head record

Sweden and Tunisia do not have a major recent competitive rivalry, so this opener is more about style than history. Sweden have the more dangerous attack, while Tunisia have the cleaner defensive identity. The first goal could completely change the match.

Where to watch Sweden vs Tunisia worldwide

In the United States, World Cup coverage is on FOX Sports platforms in English and Telemundo/Universo in Spanish. UK viewers can follow the tournament through BBC and ITV platforms, while Australian viewers have SBS and SBS On Demand.

Canada has CTV, TSN and RDS, while Tunisia and much of the Middle East/North Africa region are covered by beIN SPORTS. Swedish viewers should check SVT and TV4 platforms for local coverage. Channel allocation can vary by country and platform, so viewers should confirm local listings before kick-off.

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Final prediction

Tunisia’s defensive numbers demand respect, and they should keep the match close for long periods. However, Sweden have more individual quality in attack and enough physical presence to eventually create a decisive moment. The best overall angle is Sweden to win, with Under 2.5 goals as the strongest supporting market.

Prediction: Sweden 1-0 Tunisia.

18+ | Responsible gambling | This article is informational and does not guarantee betting outcomes.

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